We already know that the Conservatives (or at least most of them) will likely campaign for a "no" vote (although they are bound by the terms of the coalition agreement to pass the referendum bill in the Commons).
There are certainly some Labour figures such as Peter Hain who have wanted AV for a long time and others who although they want a more proportional system, see AV as a stepping stone towards that.
So the interesting question is, now that Labour are in opposition, but a referendum for AV will be called anyway, will they campaign for it?
I think it all depends on which leader they get. As far as I know, of the potential candidates only Jon Cruddas would support electoral reform. And he is unlikely to win.
ReplyDeleteEd Balls and Ed Miliband are definitely against change, and I imagine David Miliband is too. I suspect Alistair Darling is against as well. I imagine Labour will largely campaign against despite their AV pledge in the manifesto, with a number of notables campaigning for - such as Alan Johnson and Peter Hain.
I think Labour's position on this will also depend on what is planned for constituency boundaries. On the present boundaries which are likely to be changed before the next election, Labour would do well out of AV, with the Tories doing worse. With boundary enlargement I suspect the Tories might pick up 2nd preferences from more rural Lib Dems and do much better.
Labour will sabotage AV in the same spirit that they have sabotaged any Lib-Lab coalition and then blamed the Liberal Democrats for selling out -- after they sold out for 13 years.
ReplyDeleteThey just care about "pass the parcel", nothing more.
No. That would be principled
ReplyDeleteNo, they will sabotage it purely to destroy the Lib Dems.
ReplyDeleteThe omens from fixed-term Parliaments are hardly good. Legislating for them was in Labour's manifesto yet plenty in Labour (who never criticised it when it was their policy) are now attacking the idea.
ReplyDeleteWith that sort of nimble u-turn, the omens don't look great for sticking to their manifesto on AV